hi all. robots have been attacking people for over a decade now, they’re called drones, and the public outcry has not been too substantial. however, maybe the slumbering masses are starting to wake up to a related threat, job-killing robots.
this is a very complex topic that has been bubbling at the edges for years but 2016 finally seemed to mark the transition/ jump/ tipping point into mainstream consciousness. and theres some alarm/ panic, with headlines reflecting it.
despite this headline on this blog, despite the headlines elsewhere, it is really not a topic to be taken lightly. it has international implications. its affecting global economies. its tightly connected with the last few decades shift of globalization and neoliberalism, both of which seem these days (with Brexit/ trump upsets) maybe to be showing signs of aging and “long in the tooth”. it seems to be tied up with the future of technology, economics, and governments/ politics (eg whitehouse/ trump)![l] hence its one of those devastating crosscutting trifectas, aka “perfect storm”. its even starting to show up in intelligence agency strategic predictions/ alarm bells, and they are not pretty.[k1]
we see a huge split in the attitudes about it. some take it as deadly serious and many others are still considering it something like a joke. the truth is that robotics has already had a massive effect on international economies that is still underappreciated/ undernoticed/ undervalued.
have been blogging about this in pieces over half a decade, in this blog and in another. in some ways its one of the core/ smack-in-center topics/ themes of this blog, the revolutionary-yet-humanitarian aspects of robotics, AI, its groundbreaking/ transformative effect on culture, etc.
last year the coverage on this topic really exploded, there are many aspects. various high profile individuals are starting to wake up to this threat and blare the horn. probably one of the biggest factors seems to be the World Economic Forum releasing a report early in the year.[c]
it looks like a major paradigm shift in play.
the high profile outlets covering it are top in brand names/ prestige.[a] washington post, atlantic, new york times, telegraph, business insider, new yorker, economist, bloomberg, new york post, etc, many others. few people have not heard this news in some form at this point.
then there are a lot of “2nd tier” outlets, still very high profile, with the headlines about “jobstealing/ killer” etc.[b]
there are many new papers and books on the topic.[d][e] one other notable/ remarkable shift is that experts outside of economics are starting to examine it in more detail, eg computer scientists.
whats a possible solution? the MBI, minimum basic income idea is circulating.[f] its somewhat radical by todays standards. it seems utterly unlikely that the US will achieve anything like it first, because the US can barely even setup a global healthcare system. here is an area of innovation that seems to sit between govt and industry that is falling into a big gap (aka “falling between the cracks”).
the US once accomplished big ambitious projects/ transformations like the moon landing, but those times seem behind us. these days, instead US is leading/ mainly effective in massive/ budget devouring Warmachine technology.
in contrast to gridlocked or sclerotic govt adaptation, corporations are racing to increase robotics.[g] oh and its just some huge coincidence that the biggest names in high tech automation eg amazon, google, apple etc are leading pioneers/ innovators in international tax avoidance and oppressive working conditions! right! (but only noticable if you can get past the intense/ state-of-the-art propaganda PR!)
this makes me think that capitalism may be something of an illusion. it may seem that authorities in govt have some control over it. but it might have an intense mindlessness to it. aka “running on autopilot”. this large-scale mindlessness or “race to the bottom” can be seen on occasion and it can be very scary, even apocalyptic looking, eg the fall of the soviet union, or the US/ intl 2008 crash etc.
as for govt and capitalism we are locked into a more than 2-century old system that relates/ originates to 1776 coincidentally (as pointed out by my highschool econ teacher) the same year of our founding/ constitution and also Adam Smiths Wealth of Nations. in some ways govt/ business/ capitalism have changed radically over that time, in other ways it seems there is very little difference in human affairs.
to put it another way sometimes maybe the “Powers That Be” (aka “elites/ decisionmakers/ policymakers/ intelligentsia/ bureaucrats/ elected officials/ authorities” etc) may appear that way but dont really have special Powers. or their Powers are (sometimes rapidly?) melting away.
marx identified some of this reality over ~1½ century ago of “workers versus owners” and capitalism as a “race to the bottom”. its starting to materialize in front of our eyes. just because robots can do our jobs, doesnt mean we will benefit directly! the entire concept of human work as related to lifetime role is starting to be questioned/ decoupled/ threatened! but what is the alternative? none seems conceivable from where we stand. as the old expr goes “you cant get there from here.” the ominous quote/ gem by gramsci (recently added to quotes page) comes to mind:
The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear. —Gramsci
another key element is that robotics seems to be increasing economic inequality, a foremost/ critical unresolved problem with current economic systems. [k1] argues this is at the extreme point of affecting political stability all over the world.
there are a few countervailing voices that argue that its no big deal or no alarm or major action is necessary at this point, or that its not unprecedented and the economy and masses will adapt as they always have in the past.[i] but these are in the small minority at least in this survey (this is not supposed to be an unbiased sample).
what does the future hold? there are different ideas but it might be much different in some ways.[k] [k14] is optimistic and looks at the grand sweep but changes are likely to be “wrenching”. one might argue they already have been and our “future glaze/ future shock” is interfering with our sober appraisal.
be careful what you wish for, you might get it…
- a. mainstream media
- b. jobkilling/stealing
- c. WEF
- d. papers
- e. books
- f. MBI
- g. corps
- h. analysis/ commentary
- i. counter
- j. interview
- k. future
- l. whitehouse/trump
- 1. Robots are hurting middle class workers, and education won’t solve the problem, Larry Summers says – The Washington Post
- 2. Sorry, but the jobless future isn’t a luddite fallacy – The Washington Post
- 3. Artificial intelligence could cost millions of jobs. The White House says we need more of it. – The Washington Post
- 4. As More Jobs Are Taken Over by Artificial Intelligence, Certain Fields Dominated by Men May be at Greater Risk – The Atlantic
- 5. Jobs Threatened by Machines: A Once ‘Stupid’ Concern Gains Respect – The New York Times
- 6. A Robot May Be Training to Do Your Job. Don’t Panic. – The New York Times
- 7. The Long-Term Jobs Killer Is Not China. It’s Automation. – The New York Times
- 8. After the robot revolution, these may be the only jobs left for human beings – Telegraph
- 9. Robots will steal your job – Business Insider
- 10. Will a Robot Take Your Job? – The New Yorker
- 11. Technology and jobs: Coming to an office near you | The Economist
- 12. The Robot Rampage – Bloomberg Gadfly
- 1. Will Robots Steal Your Job?
- 2. How to Keep a Piece of the Pie After the Robots Take Our Jobs | Motherboard
- 3. Study says machines will do 25% of US jobs that can be automated by 2025 | Daily Mail Online
- 4. 8 Ways Robots Are Taking Over Our Jobs and Our World | Alternet
- 5. How Technology Is Destroying Jobs
- 6. Rise of the Machines: The Future has Lots of Robots, Few Jobs for Humans | WIRED
- 7. ‘RoboCop is coming’: Pratt’s Wadhwa predicts human jobs will be replaced | The Chronicle
- 8. No One Is Sure What We’re Going To Do When The Robots Come For Our Jobs | The Huffington Post
- 9. Robots May Rob Us Of What Makes Us The Happiest | The Huffington Post
- 10. This Group Wants To Help Middle-Class Workers As Robots Take Their Jobs | The Huffington Post
- 11. How Machines Destroy and Create Jobs
- 12. Americans think most human jobs could be automated by 2065, finds Pew | TechCrunch
- 13. Robots will destroy human jobs, warns billionaire Jeff Greene | Daily Mail Online
- 14. Why we need to plan for a future without jobs – Vox
- 15. 47% of Jobs Will Disappear in the next 25 Years, According to Oxford University | Big Think
- 16. 47% Of All Jobs Will Be Automated By 2034, And ‘No Government Is Prepared’ Says Economist | The Huffington Post
- 17. Robots are stealing your job: How technology threatens to wipe out the middle class – Salon.com
- 18. Why the Coming Jobs Crisis Is Bigger Than You Think – Knowledge@Wharton
- 19. From our Founder Art Bilger – Working Nation
- 20. Is YOUR job at risk? White House report warns AI could soon leave ‘millions’ of Americans unemployed | Daily Mail Online
- 21. AI Won’t End the World, But It Might Take Your Job | WIRED
- 22. If Robots Take Our Jobs, What Will Be Left for Humans to Do? | WIRED
- 23. Better Than Human: Why Robots Will — And Must — Take Our Jobs | WIRED
- 24. Why Shorter Workweeks Would Wipe Out the Much-Hyped Threat of Robots Stealing Our Jobs | Alternet
- 25. America now has a record breaking 260,000 robots working in its factories | Daily Mail Online
- 26. Jobs, Robots, Capitalism, Inequality, And You | TechCrunch
- 27. Forget A.I. ‘Remote Intelligence’ Will Be Much More Disruptive | The Huffington Post
- 1. WEF Davos report on robots replacing human jobs – Business Insider
- 2. The Future of Jobs Employment, Skills and Workforce Strategy for the Fourth Industrial Revolution
- 3. Rise of the Robots Will Eliminate More Than 5 Million Jobs – Bloomberg
- 4. Robots could replace 5 million jobs by 2020, report claims
- 5. CLSA, WEF, and Citi on the future of robots and AI in the workforce – Business Insider
- 6. The Future of Jobs | World Economic Forum
- 1. Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation/ Autor
- 2. Human, Machines, and the Future of Work/ Kumar
- 3. Humans, Machines and the Future of Work/ Mitchell
- 4. Humans, Machines, and the Future of Work/ Kumar, Mataric, Mitchell, Vardi
- 5. THE FUTURE OF WORK/ Mataric
- 6. The Future of Work in the Age of the Machine | The Hamilton Project
- 7. The Future of Work in the Age of the Machine/ Kearney, Hershbein, Boddy
- 8. THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCEPTIBLE ARE JOBS TO COMPUTERISATION? / Frey, Osborne
- 9. The Polarization of Job Opportunities in the U.S. Labor Market/ Autor
- 10. Forrester : Marketing : Robots, AI Will Replace 7% Of US Jobs By 2025
- 1. Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future: Martin Ford: 9780465097531: Amazon.com: Books
- 2. The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies: Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee: 9780393350647: Amazon.com: Books
- 3. Race Against the Machine: How the Digital Revolution is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy: Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee: 9780984725113: Amazon.com: Books
- 4. The Future of the Professions: How Technology Will Transform the Work of Human Experts: Richard Susskind, Daniel Susskind: 9780198713395: Amazon.com: Books
- 5. Humans Need Not Apply: A Guide to Wealth and Work in the Age of Artificial Intelligence: Jerry Kaplan: 9780300223576: Amazon.com: Books
- 6. Only Humans Need Apply: Winners and Losers in the Age of Smart Machines: Thomas H. Davenport, Julia Kirby: 9780062438614: Amazon.com: Books
- 7. Amazon.com: Mindless: Why Smarter Machines are Making Dumber Humans (9780465018444): Simon Head: Books
- 8. Manna: Two Visions of Humanity’s Future (English Edition) eBook: Marshall Brain: Amazon.es: Tienda Kindle
- 9. Interview: Martin Ford, Author Of ‘Rise Of The Robots’ : All Tech Considered : NPR
- 10. The Second Machine Age | W. W. Norton & Company
- 1. The Collapse of the Middle-Class Job | Alternet
- 2. Tech’s favorite policy, universal basic income, is about to get its first big test | The Verge
- 3. We need a new version of capitalism for the jobless future – The Washington Post
- 4. Guaranteed Income for All? Switzerland’s Voters Say No Thanks – The New York Times
- 5. Switzerland votes on plan to give EVERYONE a basic income of £1,750 a month whether they work or not | Daily Mail Online
- 6. Here’s Why Everyone Should Get a Basic Income | Alternet
- 7. Why Silicon Valley is embracing universal basic income | Technology | The Guardian
- 8. Is Universal Basic Income a Powerful Strategy Against Job-Killing Automation? Andy Stern Thinks So | Alternet
- 9. Commentary: Universal Basic Income May Sound Attractive But, If It Occurred, Would Likelier Increase Poverty Than Reduce It | Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
- 10. Facebook cofounder and others pledge $10 million toward universal basic income research
- 11. Is a Universal Basic Income the Answer to Automation-Caused Unemployment?
- 12. Raising the Floor: How a Universal Basic Income Can Renew Our Economy and Rebuild the American Dream: Andy Stern, Lee Kravitz: 9781610396257: Amazon.com: Books
- 13. Universal Basic Income — UBI Is a Terrible Idea | National Review
- 1. Foxconn axes 60,000 jobs as robots take over
- 2. Foxconn replaces ‘60,000 factory workers with robots’ – BBC News
- 3. Amazon introduces 30-hour week for some employees but keeps full-time benefits | Daily Mail Online
- 4. Amazon’s Takeover Of The Economy Is The Real Threat To American Jobs | The Huffington Post
- 5. Amazon Worker Jumps off 12-Story Building After Being Put on Big-Brother-Like ‘Performance Improvement Plan’ | Alternet
- 6. Cupertino’s mayor: Apple ‘abuses us’ by not paying taxes | Technology | The Guardian
- 7. It’s not just Foxconn: Apple (AAPL) is under fire for forcing “excessive overtime” and illegal working conditions in another Chinese factory — Quartz
- 8. Why Ireland Doesn’t Want Apple’s $14 Billion In Unpaid Taxes – The Daily Beast
- 9. Google, Amazon and Starbucks among the firms facing scrutiny after the Apple tax ruling | Daily Mail Online
- 10. Robert Reich: Finally, Someone Had the Guts to Take Tech Behemoth Apple to the Mat—and Won | Alternet
- 11. Apple, Google, Microsoft, Cisco, IBM and other big tech companies top list of tax-avoiders
- 12. Today’s Tech Oligarchs Are Worse Than the Robber Barons – The Daily Beast
- 13. Ex-McDonald’s USA CEO says it’s cheaper to just replace human workers with robots | Daily Mail Online
- 14. The Urgent Need for Silicon Valley to Lead a Smart and Civil Conversation on Inequality | The Huffington Post
- 15. Worse than Wal-Mart: Amazon’s sick brutality and secret history of ruthlessly intimidating workers – Salon.com
- 16. Amazon Go means more than just job losses, it will restructure the economy | Guardian Sustainable Business | The Guardian
- 1. The End of Meaningless Jobs Will Unleash the World’s Creativity
- 2. Technology is changing how we live, but it needs to change how we work | The new new economy
- 3. The One Where Larry Summers Demolished the Robots and Skills Arguments – Roosevelt Forward
- 4. Failed Theory Posed by Wall Street Dems Puts Hillary Clinton in a Bind
- 5. 5 Worst Things About the Techno-Libertarians Solidifying Their Grasp on Our Economy and Culture | Alternet
- 6. Free trade and CS | Windows On Theory
- 7. The Movie Every Screwed Millennial Should Watch | Alternet
- 8. Automation and anxiety | The Economist
- 9. Technology and Inequality
- 10. Secular Stagnation – Bloomberg QuickTake
- 11. Your Raise Was Killed By Computer Code – The Daily Beast
- 12. ‘Rise of the Robots’ and ‘Shadow Work’ – The New York Times
- 13. Forget The Markets, Robots Are China’s New Worry
- 14. Technology Isn’t Boosting Our Productivity Like It Used To | The Huffington Post
- 15. Robots, jobs and the human fear of change | TechCrunch
- 16. Jobless Recoveries – Third Way
- 17. Was America’s Economic Prosperity Just a Historical Accident?
- 1. Sir Anthony Atkinson: Don’t Blame Tech for the Wealth Gap | WIRED
- 2. The automation myth – Vox
- 3. Robots Seem to Be Improving Productivity, Not Costing Jobs
- 4. Robots are friends, not job-stealing foes
- 5. Technology has created more jobs than it has destroyed, says 140 years of data | Business | The Guardian
- 6. When someone tells you robots are going to destroy our jobs show them these charts – Business Insider
- 1. Bernstein: China, robots, and the end of Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations – Business Insider
- 2. Bank of England’s Mark Carney on technology changing jobs market – Business Insider
- 3. Zuora CEO Tien Tzuo on globalization, populism, Trump, and Brexit – Business Insider
- 4. Adair Turner: Tech changing capitalism, hurting wages, and increasing inequality – Business Insider
- 5. BT’s Gavin Patterson and HSBC’s Stuart Gulliver on tech changing the jobs market – Business Insider
- 6. This month on #maketechhuman: Macro, Micro, and Eco Views on Tech-fueled Inequality | WIRED
- 7. Discussion Future Work | Video | C-SPAN.org
- 1. U.S. Spies See a World of Trumps Ahead – The Daily Beast
- 2. Welcome To The Gig Economy – Consequences Of Artificial Intelligence
- 3. A world where everyone has a robot: why 2040 could blow your mind : Nature News & Comment
- 4. The funny things happening on the way to singularity | TechCrunch
- 5. Our Automated Future – The New Yorker
- 6. Prepare for a world without work | New York Post
- 7. The Future of Robot Labor Is the Future of Capitalism | Motherboard
- 8. A World Without Work – The Atlantic
- 9. The Machines Are Coming – The New York Times
- 10. The Robots Are Coming! The Robots Are Coming! | The Huffington Post
- 11. The Robot War Is Coming – And It’s Not Against Robots – The Daily Beast
- 12. Workers’ New Robot Overlords Will Probably Not Be Welcome – The Daily Beast
- 13. Who Will Own the Robots?
- 14. Confronting The Challenge Of A New Technological Era Is An American Tradition | The Huffington Post