hi all, earlier this year released a new theory of AGI on this blog. it got substantial/ gratifying hits and am still pursuing it. aligned with this work, did a massive survey of existing state-of-the-art AGI leads. my initial idea was to try to summarize/ survey the different approaches. still have that in mind but its a almost herculean task and too much to bite off at this moment. this blog gets respectable hits but the audience is very spread out and not vocal/ participatory, dampening some of my energy for that high effort currently (but also not ruling it out).
however, this is a massive step in that direction, just painstakingly collecting this large ~180 link set/ collections of top leads.
much of this was found via the MIT AGI slack channel. its like trying to keep up with a firehose, but its very lively and cutting edge and also with tons of noise. as an expr goes used in this blog on various occasions, not for the fainthearted!
in compiling this its striking to me how both/ simultaneously brilliant and obscure some of these approaches are. some seem to me to be very much getting at the heart of AGI (and realized they are closely aligned with my own) but like my own audience, there is a lot of scattering. so far there is fairly low coalescing/ coalescence of groups around common themes/ consensus. my feeling is this disconnection may fall dramatically in the coming years esp with widely known/ publicized breakthrough(s) that drive the currently somewhat meandering herd down much more specific directions. it will be challenging-to-difficult but not inconceivable, exactly that happened on a substantial scale with deep learning within the last few years.
while it may seem overwhelming/ insurmountable at times, in some ways the AGI problem purely reduces to an architecture/ coordination problem, aka engineering. and notice some groups are arriving at the same answer from different directions (mainly psychology, (neuro)biology, machine learning, statistics/ data science/ big data, education/ learning theory, robotics, game AI, etc), with different languages/ vocabularies/ terminologies/ paradigms that are showing some/ early signs of converging/ convergence.
with new technologies, its all about “traction + momentum”. within the next few years, am expecting some major strategy/ consensus to emerge that builds on deep learning that gives rise to a plausible path/ route to AGI. have already outlined it myself, and think my ideas are close to the “secret sauce”, but my influence is low. fully expect nearly the exact same ideas to gain major traction but when espoused by some other leading light/ monolithic authority in the field, either an organization or individual or some combination of the two. it will likely be in the form of some step from the following ideas toward the more specific/ “laser-focused” direction.
odds are if there is some major AGI theory circulating at the present time, its pointed to in these refs, the well-known and not-so-well-known. and boldly both going out on a limb with a crystal ball, furthermore, think odds are strong that a “correct/ viable” AGI theory is in the not-too-distant future/ intermediate horizon and that the seeds will be contained (“holographic like”) in at least some refs cited here, maybe even many.